Election Predictions....What Say You?

Trump will sneak one by the Goalie, The Left will try some unsuccessful shenanigans and the cities in the blue states where there was no chance of a red win will burn from riots.

If it goes the other way I will not see another Republican majority or in high office during my lifetime.
 
1HasBeen said:
Five words:
Term Limits
Balanced Budget Amendment
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I'll add completing a comprehensive audit of all Federal agencies to eliminate waste which should be done first thing. Then a balanced budget might actually happen.
 
For those saying term limits and balanced budget...

Term limits - What if...the person running has served 2 terms and is doing a great job? AND...then what if, the "replacement" candidates are fucking idiots? Wouldn't you as a voter rather have the option to give the proven candidate a 3rd term over new, fresh idiots? With the way these longer politicians are acting and proving themselves, I'll take an older guard for another term until the younger ones grow up a bit.

Balanced budget - It shouldn't so much be a balanced budget as it is, cut waste. You can balance a budget and still keep waste. You can also ask for midyear "extra". Balancing the budget is ONLY as good as when the ink is still wet. NOW...if you pushed for deficit reduction, that forces cuts in wasteful spending. If forces a balanced budget AND deficit reduction. A balanced budget doesn't do much, if anything for deficit reduction. I'd be more apt to support a deficit reduction plan of 10-15% cuts in the annual budget that is forced to show balanced budgets and deficit reduction.

democrats made such a big deal over Clinton balancing the budget, but people forget, that did nothing to reduce the national debt. We have to start paying this down or it will ruin future generations and push our country more towards socialism and more inflation as the dollar decreases value.
 
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I hate to say this, I could see Kamala winning the Electoral college and Trump winning the Popular vote. It is so hard to win the electoral college when you can't win California and other high populist states.

I will comment on Term limits, I used to be in favor big time for them. I am not so sure now, maybe 15 years or something. 4 or 8 years is too short. In most cases it takes a couple of years to build your allies and learn the job. Also, do we think there is enough people that want to fill those spots if they are removed at 8 years? I see fewer and fewer people wanting to be in the political arena, social media has made the job ten times harder due to the constant attacking and lies. Nobody wants to put their family thru all of this.
 
Term limits? Don't care. What needs to change is corporations contributing to campaigns and these "non-profits" set up by politicians.

Budget: we need to cut waste, reduce idiotic requirements, and stop this annual budget bullshit. Here's why:

1. Waste. Well, that's easy to under
2. Idiotic requirements. There are about a billion requirements to buy anything because someone somewhere did something shady/stupid/illegal/all 3. I get it, but fuck, just disbar/prosecute them and leave the rest of us alone. I spend more time filling out justifications on cheap parts than I do buying the actual part. This has cost of compliance associated and we're all paying for it.
3. Annual budgets. This is horseshit since THINGS DON'T WEAR OUT ANNUALLY!!! Sometimes things wear out every 3 years. Sometimes every 6 months. The sub-annual replacements are easy. The multi-year items are a major problem though because the Program has to budget for this with some sort of Care Plan (expensive) or bloat their budget to digest the replacement in year 3, but blow money on stupid shit like Varidesks and new monitors in the off years so they don't run afoul of "use it or lose it".
 
Cookie said:
I hate to say this, I could see Kamala winning the Electoral college and Trump winning the Popular vote. It is so hard to win the electoral college when you can't win California and other high populist states.

I will comment on Term limits, I used to be in favor big time for them. I am not so sure now, maybe 15 years or something. 4 or 8 years is too short. In most cases it takes a couple of years to build your allies and learn the job. Also, do we think there is enough people that want to fill those spots if they are removed at 8 years? I see fewer and fewer people wanting to be in the political arena, social media has made the job ten times harder due to the constant attacking and lies. Nobody wants to put their family thru all of this.
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economictimes.indiatimes.com

US election 2024 result: Donald Trump is winning six battleground states, exit poll shows

US election 2024 trends from North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania have emerged. As per the latest trend, Donald Trump is leading against Kamala Harris in battleground states.
economictimes.indiatimes.com economictimes.indiatimes.com

Looking decent so far.
 
In my world being a politician should not be a career. I am sick of all politicians, the corruption,etc. Thus my reason for term limits. I would also eliminate serving your term and retiring with benefits for life. We no longer have anyone interested in serving the people, they are only serving themselves. I vote to nuke the system and start over. lol
 
Rockwood said:
economictimes.indiatimes.com

US election 2024 result: Donald Trump is winning six battleground states, exit poll shows

US election 2024 trends from North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania have emerged. As per the latest trend, Donald Trump is leading against Kamala Harris in battleground states.
economictimes.indiatimes.com economictimes.indiatimes.com

Looking decent so far.
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I believe Trump will win Az but Lake will lose. She is a terrible candidate and the only reason I did vote for her is because Ruben is even worse. I would take the pink Tootoo wearing Senima over him all day long. She at least proved she was hiding a set of balls and did what she felt was best for Az, not for her party. That she immediately left.

I do think Lake will end up in DC though on Trumps team. I can see her doing what she did best for so many years reading off the teleprompter as Press Secretary. Unfortunately, I don't think the GOAT of all Press Secretaries will return, you know the cute blonde girl with the notebook that knew all of the answers and had back-up with her at all times.
 
Under U.S. Term Limits v. Thornton the SC ruled that state governments cannot limit the terms of members of the national government. And does anyone think that congress would ever institute them for themselves ?
 
My prediction. Harris' Blue Wall holds, she gets to 270 and maybe picks up one or two more with women putting her over because of Dobbs . . .
 
MWB said:
I believe Trump will win Az but Lake will lose. She is a terrible candidate and the only reason I did vote for her is because Ruben is even worse. I would take the pink Tootoo wearing Senima over him all day long. She at least proved she was hiding a set of balls and did what she felt was best for Az, not for her party. That she immediately left.

I do think Lake will end up in DC though on Trumps team. I can see her doing what she did best for so many years reading off the teleprompter as Press Secretary. Unfortunately, I don't think the GOAT of all Press Secretaries will return, you know the cute blonde girl with the notebook that knew all of the answers and had back-up with her at all times.
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I am not a fan either. She's unhinged but I simply cannot vote blue.
 
Rockwood said:
Term limits? Don't care. What needs to change is corporations contributing to campaigns and these "non-profits" set up by politicians.

Budget: we need to cut waste, reduce idiotic requirements, and stop this annual budget bullshit. Here's why:

1. Waste. Well, that's easy to under
2. Idiotic requirements. There are about a billion requirements to buy anything because someone somewhere did something shady/stupid/illegal/all 3. I get it, but fuck, just disbar/prosecute them and leave the rest of us alone. I spend more time filling out justifications on cheap parts than I do buying the actual part. This has cost of compliance associated and we're all paying for it.
3. Annual budgets. This is horseshit since THINGS DON'T WEAR OUT ANNUALLY!!! Sometimes things wear out every 3 years. Sometimes every 6 months. The sub-annual replacements are easy. The multi-year items are a major problem though because the Program has to budget for this with some sort of Care Plan (expensive) or bloat their budget to digest the replacement in year 3, but blow money on stupid shit like Varidesks and new monitors in the off years so they don't run afoul of "use it or lose it".
Click to expand...
I don't disagree, but I think term limits go hand-in-hand with reducing corporate influence. What incentive is there to "invest" big money in a candidate if you can't bank on long term influence?
 
Hondajimz said:
In my world being a politician should not be a career. I am sick of all politicians, the corruption,etc. Thus my reason for term limits. I would also eliminate serving your term and retiring with benefits for life. We no longer have anyone interested in serving the people, they are only serving themselves. I vote to nuke the system and start over. lol
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South Bay said:
Under U.S. Term Limits v. Thornton the SC ruled that state governments cannot limit the terms of members of the national government. And does anyone think that congress would ever institute them for themselves ?
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As @South Bay stated, Congress will NEVER support or vote to remove their benefits. Shoot, they made Constitutional Amendments PROTECTING them from this and that would take a super majority to overrule it. Good luck. AOC got elected and was only making $30K/yr. Now she's worth millions...all while making $175k/year. Go figure.

Because of the corruption, those that know me, know this...I have not supported freedom and democracy for a long time. I'm all about a conservative, authoritarian dictatorship, at least for a timeline of 10 years to straighten things out. Most Americans have no clue what their rights really mean or how to use them. The insanity that runs our street is ridiculous. The 1% of political shitheads run our country. Seriously, whoever thought a purple headed idiot screaming "them/they" would every be given a second thought or any attention for that matter, but here we are. Whoever thought half of America would support an illegal invasion and tax increases to pay for it?

The only thing that will ever fix this country is fear and violence. Rules and laws don't matter, civility doesn't matter, logic doesn't matter...the list goes on. Well placed violence is the only answer. Bring back Machiavelli.
 
It seems to me that a lot of blame is placed on the politicians for the chaotic mess the government has created, but in my opinion it falls on the constituents that keep electing the corrupt politicians to fix the problems they created. I am more disappointed in how shallow/uneducated voters have become. Politicians on both sides offer shiny objects in return to get votes. And those shiny objects are what is killing us slowly.
And bring back an emphasis on civics in our schools!!
 
THD said:
It seems to me that a lot of blame is placed on the politicians for the chaotic mess the government has created, but in my opinion it falls on the constituents that keep electing the corrupt politicians to fix the problems they created. I am more disappointed in how shallow/uneducated voters have become. Politicians on both sides offer shiny objects in return to get votes. And those shiny objects are what is killing us slowly.
And bring back an emphasis on civics in our schools!!
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Hence why I say voting should no longer be a right.
 
THD said:
It seems to me that a lot of blame is placed on the politicians for the chaotic mess the government has created, but in my opinion it falls on the constituents that keep electing the corrupt politicians to fix the problems they created. I am more disappointed in how shallow/uneducated voters have become. Politicians on both sides offer shiny objects in return to get votes. And those shiny objects are what is killing us slowly.
And bring back an emphasis on civics in our schools!!
Click to expand...

There's a weird axiom of politics that when you ask people about Congress, the results will overwhelmingly be that everyone hates Congress, but when asked about their own local representative, constituents will state that they approve of them. Which helps to explain why it is so hard to beat incumbents (gerrymandering aside).
 
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As the saying goes; it’s all about the economy stupid. Curious what you all have heard in specific policy ideas from either candidate that you believe will help or hurt the economy?
I haven’t heard many specifics from Kamala other than to go after corporate price gouging - what ever that means and looks like? And Trump’s tariffs will only cause more inflation and hurt consumers. Oil prices are pretty low so drill baby drill ain’t gonna do much either. Sure wish we had better options on the ballot.
 
1HasBeen said:
I don't disagree, but I think term limits go hand-in-hand with reducing corporate influence. What incentive is there to "invest" big money in a candidate if you can't bank on long term influence?
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These guys are invested in from the state/local governance level. I'm part of an organization investing in one now to try to save CA public OHV lands.
 
Dockmaster said:
As the saying goes; it’s all about the economy stupid. Curious what you all have heard in specific policy ideas from either candidate that you believe will help or hurt the economy?
I haven’t heard many specifics from Kamala other than to go after corporate price gouging - what ever that means and looks like? And Trump’s tariffs will only cause more inflation and hurt consumers. Oil prices are pretty low so drill baby drill ain’t gonna do much either. Sure wish we had better options on the ballot.
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harris' plan is to tax more. She has a whole list of freebies and reparations she's promised to hand out if she wins. They will increase minimum wage (resulting in higher prices), raise taxes for each bracket, she wants to institute "unrealized gains" on real-estate and investments (this could upend the entire real estate market and people's retirements). Never mind the open borders and free shit for them. She will also criminalize being a Republican and gun owner.

Yes, Trump's tariffs will hurt some. While it hurts, his motivation is to pull the US off the dependency of foreign goods. The US could be crushed if foreign countries put embargoes on the US. People think this would never happen but look at who we depend on the most...our enemies. The other part of this...if things cost more, maybe you don't need them. The US is so focused on being a consumer society that we never save and live in constant excess and instant gratification.
 
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